About Scott C. Lemon

I'm a techno futurist, interested in all aspects of humanity, sociology, community, identity, and technology. While we are all approaching the Singularity, I'm just having fun effecting the outcomes of the future!

Impressive Internet statistics … evidence of much …
I came across this web site on another stock discussion thread. I really liked the statistics and information that is provided here for a few reasons.

The original post was made about measuring the impacts of the terrorist attacks at the World Trade Center on the Internet and Internet connectivity. The writer commented on the hundreds of networks which were effected during that fateful Tuesday event. The measurements of the BGP routing tables were used to see what occurred.

Obviously this relates directly to ways that we can monitor, manage, and maintain the human organism that we are creating. The mass connectivity that is forming at a global level, can now be looked at in many new ways, and I can envision when we have new tools which will relate the various networks to the services that are provided by them. This will then provide information on where redundancy makes sense, and where we are going to want to build in extra security services.

The last area that I can see here is the relation to the Singularity. If you are following the writing on the Singularity then you might have seen the work of Ray Kurzweil and his propositions on the measuring of accelerating change. He has presented a series of graphs which measure various attributes of human evolution and technological evolution. If you look a these graphs of BGP route increases, you’ll recognize the predictable pattern …

I never even thought about this … the TRS-80 alive!
I started my microprocessor programming on a TRS-80 Model-I … and I still have it around in the basement! I never even thought about the fact that (of course) someone was going to write an emulator for these old boxes. It only makes sense … if MAME can be created to emulate the old game machines, then it was just a matter of time until the old Z80 machines like the TRS-80 were emulated …

Catweasel to DMK 2.1 (Default). Use a Catweasel to copy any SD or DD floppy to TRS-80 emulator image format. [freshmeat.net]

Like Ricochet, is the future of MobileStar already known?
There are, IMHO, some serious flaws in the business models of the current wireless providers. This is becoming more and more evident as 3G roll outs are done, and not done. The costs of constantly upgrading the wireless infrastructure are extremely high, and without the ability to defray these costs, the ROI in a quickly evolving market and industry are just too high.

This quote actually demonstrates the flaws of their business model … one which is tracking closely to the same cellular model:

“But like 3G and other wireless technologies, Wi-Fi must find backers at a time when investors have little appetite for tech start-ups. Mr. Kaiser is trying to raise $30 million in new funding for MobileStar, which he says has enough cash to operate at current levels for four to five months.”

IMHO, MobileStar is already seeing the flaws that are also hitting those looking to deploy 3G wireless solutions as promised.

Elliot Spagat writes in great detail about MobileStar’s plans, and commentary on the rest of the industry, in today’s Wall Street Journal: unfortunately, the article is not publicly linkable, available only on their subscription site. A brief summary: MobileStar has received additional financing and hired a new CEO. Both WayPort and MobileStar are sitting on large cash stakes. MobileStar is now stating that roaming agreements would be premature in this nascent industry; this sounds more like a winner-take-all argument, and they are in the catbird’s seat with more active locations than any other national provider. MobileStar apparently has the contracts for JFK, San Francisco International, and O’Hare (Chicago) airports. A formal roll-out with advertising of the Starbucks network is planned for later this year.

[80211b News]

A good analysis of 3G …
This is yet another good article on the state of 3G wireless solutions. I too believe that this will become one of the many wireless solutions that people will be using with their wireless devices.

When I put on my wearable computer (or when it’s on me because I put my clothes on!) I know that I’ll be using several wireless technologies at the same time – 802.11b for high-speed/close range, Bluetooth for peer to peer/close range, and some sort of cellular for PSTN voice communications and low-speed data.

I still think that 3G will be too little, too late for real useful digital data communications …

Analysis of 3G cellular, Bluetooth, and 802.11b, dismissing hype and making a fair assessment of prospects

[80211b News]

Not quite a wearable …
This article indicates some of the “wearable” peripherals that are showing up. This one is a kit that adds a wearable half-keyboard and other “mounting” straps for wearing your Palm device. I’m not in agreement that this “competes with industrial PCs”, however it is demonstrating the “fashion” that is beginning to appear.

Palm Becomes Wearable. Kit competes with wearable industrial PCs [allNetDevices Wireless News]

Yeah … right … 3G is going to be the solution …
I have long said that 3G looks like it’ll be too little, too late. These companies are looking to invest billions of dollars to provide kilobits/sec of digital data access! What a joke. I have yet to hear a good story about how this is all going to happen in time. My belief is that the “parasitic networks”, like the 802.11b networks, will be here far sooner …

FCC Delays 3G Allocation Study. Will cause delay in U.S. spectrum auction [allNetDevices Wireless News]

Bluetooth confusion continues …
I met with the President and CEO of a Bluetooth development company the other day. I was really impressed at his perspective, and our agreement, of the potential of the Bluetooth market. It’s funny how so many people see the “conflict” between Bluetooth and 802.11b … and yet this executive doesn’t see any!
Bluetooth is a very cool wireless solution for certain applications. Most people don’t understand the various bandwidth limitations, and understand the Bluetooth profiles that have been defined. I’m impressed that Bluetooth is getting closer, and looks like a great solution for ad-hoc networks. I’m going to do more investigation at Comdex … I want to understand the costs and capabilities. I have also found that the SDKs and developer tools are very thin at this point … I really can’t write the Bluetooth applications that I want to yet … 😉

Survey: IT Managers Want Bluetooth. But often confuse it with WLANs [allNetDevices Wireless News]

Another interesting computer being proposed and built in India …
I really like this one for a couple of reasons:
1. This is being developed in India! I am a huge fan of India, and the potential of this country to evolve into a dominant world force.
2. This is running Linux … not a crippled partial operating system, but a full blown PC operating system.

India to Compute on the Cheap. In a country of nearly 1 billion people, there are only about 2 million PCs. This could change with the ‘Simputer,’ a Net-accessible computer that could cost about $200. Swaroopa Iyengar reports from India. [Wired News]

More early experiments of Mirror Worlds …
For those of you who have not read the book Mirror Worlds by David Gelernter, this description by Dan Gillmor starts to fit the bill. Gelernter writes about software systems which allow the real-time observation of almost anything on earth, anywhere, at anytime. And the ability to zoom into business and personal processes that are automated to see what is really going on from the macro-scale to the micro-scale. I agree completely with Gelernters basic premise that this type of software is inevitable … and I can see many ways that it is starting to appear …

Dan Gillmor: “Imagine, for example, that you’re looking at a map of major Bay Area highways. The map is embedded in a PC spreadsheet or Web browser. Every 30 seconds, it updates the average traffic speeds noted by road sensors at various locations along those highways. I saw such a map earlier this week in Mountain View, at the offices of KnowNow.” [Scripting News]